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Recap

NFL Week 1 Total Line Movement Results

We got some good responses from the Spread line movement post yesterday, so I will also post my analysis of the line movement for the totals.

A few terminology definitions:

  • Open date: 1 week prior to game day
  • Mid: Any change between open and 1 day prior to game day
  • Late: Any change 1 day prior to game day

Summary:

  • Midweek line adjustments: 6-5 (+1)
  • Late line adjustments: 5-0 (+5)
AwayHomeOpenMinLateMid $Late $Final TotalMid CorrectLate Correct
HOUKC53.55454OverNA5410
GBMIN4644.544.5UnderNA77-10
MIANE434241.5UnderUnder3211
CHIDET444242.5UnderOver50-11
SEAATL494949NANA6300
PHIWAS434242UnderNA44-10
INDJAC454545NANA4700
CLEBAL48.54847.5UnderUnder4411
NYJBUF39.539.539.5NANA4400
LVCAR47.547.548.5NAOver6401
LACCIN4441.541.5UnderNA2910
ARISF47.54848OverNA44-10
TBNO49.547.547.5UnderNA57-10
DALLAR5251.551.5UnderNA3710
PITNYG47.54645UnderUnder4211
TENDEN414141NANA3000

Source for Odds: Oddsshark.com