Tag: line movement

Here’s how the total line movement played out against the actual results.

All odds provided by Pinnacle.

Just a reminder of terminology:

• Open date: 1 week prior to game day
• Mid: Any change between open and 1 day prior to game day
• Late: Any change 1 day prior to game day

Summary

At this point, it doesn’t appear that there is much of a trend in one direction or the other, so tailing the movements does not make sense.

• Midweek line adjustments: 6-8 (-2) (YTD: 18-23 (-5))
• Late line adjustments: 5-3 (+2) (YTD: 13-11 (+2))

Week	Away	Home	Open Date	Open	Midweek	Late	Mid $	Late $	Final Total	Mid Correct	Late Correct	Link
3	Dolphins	Jaguars	9/22	47.5	48	49	Over	Over	45	-1	-1	Game
3	Titans	Vikings	9/22	47.5	49	49	Over	NA	61	1	0	Game
3	Raiders	Patriots	9/22	45.5	47	47	Over	NA	54	1	0	Game
3	Bears	Falcons	9/22	47.5	47	47	Under	NA	56	-1	0	Game
3	Bengals	Eagles	9/22	46.5	46	47	Under	Over	46	1	-1	Game
3	49ers	Giants	9/22	41	41	42	NA	Over	45	0	1	Game
3	Texans	Steelers	9/22	45	45	46	NA	Over	49	0	1	Game
3	Washington	Browns	9/22	44	45	45	Over	NA	54	1	0	Game
3	Rams	Bills	9/22	47.5	47	46	Under	Under	67	-1	-1	Game
3	Panthers	Chargers	9/22	44	43	43	Under	NA	37	1	0	Game
3	Jets	Colts	9/22	43.5	44	44	Over	NA	43	-1	0	Game
3	Lions	Cardinals	9/22	54.5	55	55	Over	NA	49	-1	0	Game
3	Cowboys	Seahawks	9/22	55.5	55	56	Under	Over	69	-1	1	Game
3	Buccaneers	Broncos	9/22	43.5	43	42	Under	Under	38	1	1	Game
3	Packers	Saints	9/22	53	52	52	Under	NA	67	-1	0	Game
3	Chiefs	Ravens	9/22	54.5	55	54	Over	Under	54	-1	1	Game

Source for Odds: Pinnacle

Here’s how the line movement played out against the actual results.

All odds were provided by Pinnacle.

Just a reminder of terminology:

Open date: 1 week prior to game day

Mid: Any change between open and 1 day prior to game day

Late: Any change 1 day prior to game day

Summary

• Midweek line adjustments: 7-2 (+5) (YTD: 23-10 (+13))
• Late line adjustments: 2-4 (-2) (YTD: 12-9 (+3))

Looks like the midweek line moves have a pretty good trend so far, so it might be worth tailing those.

Week	Away	Home	Open Date	Open	Midweek	Late	Mid $	Late $	Final Spread	Mid Correct	Late Correct	Link
3	Miami Dolphins	Jacksonville Jaguars	9/22	-2.5	-2.5	-3	NA	Favorite	18	0	-1	Game
3	Tennessee Titans	Minnesota Vikings	9/22	2.5	2.5	2.5	NA	NA	-1	0	0	Game
3	Las Vegas Raiders	New England Patriots	9/22	-6.5	-5	-5.5	Underdog	Favorite	-16	-1	1	Game
3	Chicago Bears	Atlanta Falcons	9/22	-3.5	-3	-3.5	Underdog	Favorite	4	1	-1	Game
3	Cincinnati Bengals	Philadelphia Eagles	9/22	-6.5	-4.5	-4.5	Underdog	NA	0	1	0	Game
3	San Francisco 49ers	New York Giants	9/22	4.5	4.5	3.5	NA	Underdog	-27	0	-1	Game
3	Houston Texans	Pittsburgh Steelers	9/22	-3.5	-4	-4	Favorite	NA	-7	1	0	Game
3	Washington Football Team	Cleveland Browns	9/22	-7	-7	-7	NA	NA	-14	0	0	Game
3	Los Angeles Rams	Buffalo Bills	9/22	-2.5	-2.5	-2.5	NA	NA	-3	0	0	Game
3	Carolina Panthers	Los Angeles Chargers	9/22	-7.5	-6.5	-6.5	Underdog	NA	5	1	0	Game
3	New York Jets	Indianapolis Colts	9/22	-10.5	-11.5	-12.5	Favorite	Favorite	-29	1	1	Game
3	Detroit Lions	Arizona Cardinals	9/22	-5.5	-5.5	-5.5	NA	NA	3	0	0	Game
3	Dallas Cowboys	Seattle Seahawks	9/22	-4.5	-5	-5	Favorite	NA	-7	1	0	Game
3	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Denver Broncos	9/22	6	6	5	NA	Underdog	-18	0	-1	Game
3	Green Bay Packers	New Orleans Saints	9/22	-3.5	-3	-3	Underdog	NA	7	1	0	Game
3	Kansas City Chiefs	Baltimore Ravens	9/22	-3	-3.5	-3.5	Favorite	NA	14	-1	0	Game

Source for Odds: Pinnacle

Here’s how the total line movement played out against the actual results.

This is the last week we’ll be using Oddsshark. Starting this week we’ll switch to Pinnacle.

Just a reminder of terminology:

• Open date: 1 week prior to game day
• Mid: Any change between open and 1 day prior to game day
• Late: Any change 1 day prior to game day

Summary

• Midweek line adjustments: 6-10 (-4) (YTD: 12-15 (-3))
• Late line adjustments: 3-8 (-5) (YTD: 8-8 (+0))

Week	Away	Home	Open	Mid	Late	Mid $	Late $	Final	Mid Correct	Late Correct	Chart Link
2	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	46	43.5	43.5	Under	NA	65	-1	0	Game
2	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	46	49.5	49.5	Over	NA	63	1	0	Game
2	New York Giants	Chicago Bears	43	42	42	Under	NA	30	1	0	Game
2	Jacksonville Jaguars	Tennessee Titans	43	42	44	Under	Over	63	-1	1	Game
2	Atlanta Falcons	Dallas Cowboys	50	54	53.5	Over	Under	79	1	-1	Game
2	San Francisco 49ers	New York Jets	43.5	42.5	41.5	Under	Under	44	-1	-1	Game
2	Los Angeles Rams	Philadelphia Eagles	48	46	45.5	Under	Under	56	-1	-1	Game
2	Carolina Panthers	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	48.5	47.5	47.5	Under	NA	51	-1	0	Game
2	Denver Broncos	Pittsburgh Steelers	43	41.5	40.5	Under	Under	47	-1	-1	Game
2	Minnesota Vikings	Indianapolis Colts	46	48	49	Over	Over	39	-1	-1	Game
2	Buffalo Bills	Miami Dolphins	43	41.5	41	Under	Under	59	-1	-1	Game
2	Washington Football Team	Arizona Cardinals	46	47.5	46.5	Over	Under	45	-1	1	Game
2	Kansas City Chiefs	Los Angeles Chargers	50.5	47.5	47.5	Under	NA	43	1	0	Game
2	Baltimore Ravens	Houston Texans	53	51.5	50	Under	Under	49	1	1	Game
2	New England Patriots	Seattle Seahawks	44	45	44.5	Over	Under	65	1	-1	Game
2	New Orleans Saints	Las Vegas Raiders	50.5	49.5	48.5	Under	Under	58	-1	-1	Game

Source for Odds: Oddsshark.com

Hi all, Here’s how the line movement played out against the actual results.

This is the last week I’ll be using Oddsshark. Starting this week we’ll switch to Pinnacle.

Just a reminder of terminology:

• Open date: 1 week prior to game day
• Mid: Any change between open and 1 day prior to game day
• Late: Any change 1 day prior to game day

Summary

• Midweek line adjustments: 10-4 (+6) (YTD: 16-8 (+8))
• Late line adjustments: 6-3 (+3) (YTD: 11-5 (+6))

Week	Away	Home	Open	Mid	Late	Mid $	Late $	Final	Mid Correct	Late Correct	Chart Link
2	Cincinnati Bengals	Cleveland Browns	-7.5	-6	-6	Underdog	NA	-5	1	0	Game
2	Detroit Lions	Green Bay Packers	-6	-6.5	-6	Favorite	Underdog	-21	1	-1	Game
2	New York Giants	Chicago Bears	-5.5	-5.5	-5.5	NA	NA	-4	0	0	Game
2	Jacksonville Jaguars	Tennessee Titans	-11	-9	-7.5	Underdog	Underdog	-3	1	1	Game
2	Atlanta Falcons	Dallas Cowboys	-7	-4.5	-4	Underdog	Underdog	-1	1	1	Game
2	San Francisco 49ers	New York Jets	6	7	7	Favorite	NA	18	1	0	Game
2	Los Angeles Rams	Philadelphia Eagles	-3.5	1	0	Underdog	Favorite	18	1	-1	Game
2	Carolina Panthers	Tampa Bay Buccaneers	-8	-9.5	-8.5	Favorite	Underdog	14	1	-1	Game
2	Denver Broncos	Pittsburgh Steelers	-6	-7.5	-7	Favorite	Underdog	-5	-1	1	Game
2	Minnesota Vikings	Indianapolis Colts	-2.5	-3	-3	Favorite	NA	-17	1	0	Game
2	Buffalo Bills	Miami Dolphins	3.5	5.5	5.5	Favorite	NA	3	-1	0	Game
2	Washington Football Team	Arizona Cardinals	-6.5	-6.5	-7	NA	Favorite	-15	0	1	Game
2	Kansas City Chiefs	Los Angeles Chargers	6.5	8.5	8.5	Favorite	NA	3	-1	0	Game
2	Baltimore Ravens	Houston Texans	5.5	7	7.5	Favorite	Favorite	17	1	1	Game
2	New England Patriots	Seattle Seahawks	-3.5	-4	-4	Favorite	NA	-5	1	0	Game
2	New Orleans Saints	Las Vegas Raiders	4.5	5.5	5.5	Favorite	NA	-10	-1	0	Game

Source for Odds: Oddsshark.com