What is the Wisdom of the Crowd? How can it work with sports?
Saturday: The crowd went 4-2 across the spread, game totals, and straight-up winners. Sunday: The crowd went 5-1 across the spread, game totals, and straight-up winners. Game Spread Total Crowd (Odds) Actual Crowd (Odds) Actual OAK (15.6)-HOU (17.2) -1.6 (-4) -13 32.8 (36.5) 41 DET (12.75)-SEA (27.25) -14.5 (-8) -20 40 (43) 32 MIA(13.67)-PIT (29)…… Continue reading Wild Card CPR
The week 14 CPR results are in!
[Editor’s note: I’m trying to add as many acronyms into the headline as possible.] A quick data analysis of the Raiders @ Chiefs Week 14 game: The crowd swung over to the Raiders close to kickoff. Looking at the data, we had just five total predictions, and two came in on Thursday. One predicted a…… Continue reading Week 14 TNF CPR
Hi all, Week 13 results are in and, while the crowd was just better than 50% this week, there were some pretty interesting results to be had: Total Predictions: 5-8 (some people didn’t complete all of the predictions, which would be a good feature addition) ATS: 8-7 Straight-up: 11-4 Against the Total: 8-7 Next-Level Crowd…… Continue reading Week 13 CPR
Hi all, the first results are in, and you all have some prognosticating game! High-level summary: ATS: 8-6 Straight up: 10-4 Total: 11-3 Next Level Crowd Wisdom: The crowd predicted within a point the Baltimore-Dallas score of 27-17, the Bears-Giants score of 22-16, and the Seahawks score of 26-15, meaning the crowd nailed both the spread…… Continue reading Week 11 Crowd Performance Review (CPR)
Thanks to some dedicated volunteers, we have seen our first set of results come through. While it would be nice to draw some conclusions, there were only 4 submissions, so we’re still likely in the realm of random chance. Still, a couple of things: There was some very useful feedback that Paul and I are very grateful…… Continue reading The First Week Results