2020 Season – NFL Regular Season Predictions

This week, we’re going to add to the many season-win predictions before the 2020 NFL season kicks off. We’ll talk about who we like to make it to the playoffs, but most importantly, we’ll talk about why we’ll almost certainly be wrong. We also enjoy some 2Bar Whiskey along the way.

Show Notes

We are so psyched that the NFL got itself organized and has shown that responsible behavior can limit the spread of COVID-19.

With that out of the way, here are the notes from our NFL Season Preview episode:

Whiskey of the Week

• Our whiskey of the week is the Straight Bourbon Whiskey from 2Bar Spirits.

Other Contests

As we did last season, we’ll be testing our crowd’s predicting prowess in a couple open “supercontests”… We’ll take the crowd’s final aggregate score predictions for each game compared to the same consensus betting lines we use to calculate our scoring model and apply this “crowd wisdom” in a real-world scenario.

NFL Pickwatch (Paul)

• Our crowd’s picks straight-up and ATS plugged into NFL Pickwatch to see how they stack up against all the other predictors and experts tracked by Pickwatch
• Not using crowd picks for the supercontest because it would be way too complicated (involves wagering virtual PW “coins”)

MyBookie Super Contest (Chris)

• We will use a secret formula/methodology to determine our crowd’s 5 “best picks” of each week to make picks in the MyBookie.ag super contest.
• Here’s the rub: If the crowd cromes through and we end up in the money, we’ll be sharing the prize money with our overall winners. The more people we have, the better the crowd wisdom, so make sure to tell your friends!

Division-by-Division Preview

AFC East

• Paul:
  • Buf: 9-7, NE: 7-9, MIA: 3-13, NYJ: 3-13
• Chris:
  • Buf: 9-7, NE: 9-7, MIA: 6-10, NYJ: 5-11
    • Buffalo takes the division with a better division record

AFC West:

• Chris
  • KC: 13-3, LV: 7-9, DEN: 6-10, LAC: 4-12
• Paul
  • KC: 12-4, DEN: 7-9, LV: 7-9, LAC: 6-10

AFC North:

• Paul:
  • BAL: 11-5, PIT: 9-7, CIN: 5-11, CLE: 3-13
• Chris:
  • BAL: 14-2, PIT: 12-4, CLE: 6-10, CIN: 4-12

AFC South:

• Chris:
  • IND: 10-6, HOU: 10-6, TEN: 8-8, JAC: 3-13
• Paul:
  • TEN: 12-4, HOU: 12-4, IND: 10-6, JAC: 3-13

AFC Playoff Standings (Chris)

1. BAL (14-2)
2. KC (13-3)
3. IND (10-6)
4. BUF (9-7, 5-1 in division)
5. PIT (12-4)
6. HOU (10-6)
7. NE (9-7)

AFC Playoff Seedings (Paul)

1. Tennessee Titans (12-4, 10-2 CONF, South Winner)
2. Kansas City Chiefs (12-4, 9-3 CONF, West Winner)
3. Baltimore Ravens (11-5, 7-5 CONF, North Winner)
4. Buffalo Bills (9-7, 8-4 CONF, East Winner)
5. Houston Texans (12-4, 8-4 CONF)
6. Indianapolis Colts (10-6, 8-4 CONF)
7. Pittsburgh Steelers (9-7, 8-4 CONF)

And now on to the NFC…

NFC East:

• Chris:
  • DAL: 10-6, PHI: 6-10, NYG: 4-12, WAS: 2-14
• Paul:
  • DAL: 11-5, PHI: 10-6, NYG: 4-12, WAS: 3-13

NFC West:

• Paul:
  • SF: 13-3, SEA: 11-5, LAR: 10-6, ARI: 7-9
• Chris:
  • SF: 13-3, SEA: 12-4, LAR: 11-5, ARI: 5-11

NFC North:

• Chris:
  • GB: 13-3, MIN: 7-9, CHI: 4-12, DET: 3-13
• Paul:
  • GB-13-3, MIN 9-7, CHI: 6-10, DET: 4-12

NFC South:

• Paul:
  • NO: 12-4, TB: 10-6, ATL: 7-9, CAR: 6-10
• Chris:
  • TB: 13-3, NO: 13-3, ATL: 9-7, CAR: 2-14

NFC Playoff Seedings (Chris)

1. SF (13-3, 10-2 in Conf)
2. GB (13-3)
3. TB (13-3)
4. DAL (10-6)
5. NO (13-3)
6. SEA (12-4)
7. LAR (11-5)

NFC Playoff Seedings (Paul)

1. Green Bay Packers (13-3, 11-1 CONF, North Winner)
2. SF 49ers (13-3, 9-3 CONF, West Winner)
3. NO Saints (12-4, 8-4 CONF, South Winner)
4. Dallas Cowboys (11-5, 8-4 CONF, East Winner)
5. Seattle Seahawks (11-5, 7-5 CONF)
6. Philadelphia Eagles (10-6, 7-5 CONF)
7. Tampa Bay Bucs (10-6, 7-5 CONF)

(Rams just missing out also 10-6 but 6-6 in CONF)

Wrap-up

Head over to stakehousesports.com to download the app and start predicting (or predict using our web app. Remember, you can win up to $50 a week in Amazon gift cards as well as a prestigious shout-out on this here program. Odds update daily, so make sure to check your predictions before gametime.

You can also follow us on Twitter using handle @houseofstakes, and on Facebook at facebook.com/stakehousesports. And you can always contact us at podcast@stakehousesports.com.