Week 6 Prediction Analysis – The Best Bets

We take a brief look at when the crowd identifies a best bet.

One of the most valuable opportunities we believe that the wisdom of the crowd offers is with the best bet. Our expectation is that when there is a significant gap between the line and the crowd prediction, they offer the best value.

The main distinction with a best bet that we’re playing wit2017-week6-bestbetsh at the moment is when the delta between the crowd prediction and the line is greater than a touchdown.

So far, such a gap only exists with the over/under, and to date the crowd is performing fairly well:

  • Week 1: 5-2 (and 1 push)
  • Week 2: 3-2
  • Week 3: 3-4
  • Week 4: 2-0
  • Week 5: No best bets
  • Week 6: 1-3

Overall, that gives us a total of 14-11 for 56% success. With a small sample size, it’s too early to make any kind of conclusion, but it’s worth keeping an eye on. We’ll add it to the leaderboard¬†and keep tracking them from week to week.

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