Hi all, Week 13 results are in and, while the crowd was just better than 50% this week, there were some pretty interesting results to be had:
- Total Predictions: 5-8 (some people didn’t complete all of the predictions, which would be a good feature addition)
- ATS: 8-7
- Straight-up: 11-4
- Against the Total: 8-7
Next-Level Crowd Wisdom
The crowd predicted that the Chiefs would defeat the Falcons by 1 point and that the Patriots would defeat the Rams by 16 points. Every time one of these happens, it strikes me as pretty astonishing.
There were no perfect predictions this week, so we’re hoping that if we can get some better participation, the likelihood of more next-level crowd wisdom will go up.
The Grain of Salt
The main issue that we are facing at this point is simply the volume of predictions, so if the CSS Crowd out there can grow some more, we may have a better idea about whether the idea has merit.
Having said that, it was encouraging to see some overs predicted this week. In the first week of predictions (Week 11), 11 of 14 games went under and the crowd predicted all 14 as under, and I was concerned that the crowd would always be conservative. However, in Week 13, there were quite a few high predictions, though only one correct over prediction.